Free break-even ACOS calculator

Your ACOS is half your competitors' because you still bid on the first sale.

7 in 10 Amazon sellers still run ads to profit on their first order. The market has shifted to LTV. This free tool reveals the ACOS strategy that works for CPG brands.

1 What do you sell?

Trusted by

1000+

industry leaders

Best Seller in Deodorants
Salt & Stone

100%

NTB accuracy

Faster Insights

Best Seller in Sea Vegetables
True Sea Moss

Subscriber Growth

40%

NTB increase

Top agency
Trivium

100%

Auto Reporting

50hrs+

Saved

Best Seller in Home & Kitchen
CGK Linens

-18%

Wasted ad spend

10x

Decision Speed

Best Seller in Headbands
Kitsch

5hrs+

Saved Daily

100%

Profit Clarity

Best Seller in Energy Chews
Neuro

Optimization

100%

Branded view

Top agency
TripleLine

100%

Centralized Data

Reporting Speed

Best Seller in Cutting Boards
Royal Craft Wood

+13%

Gross margin

−22%

Refund reduction

Best Seller in Stick Umbrellas
UEP

Efficiency Gain

100%

Cost Control

What you'll get EXAMPLE

What your break-even ACOS looks like as that customer keeps buying

A full report that works like a live tool, free. The numbers below are an example for your category.

1 month

54%

ROAS 1.85

🎯 Most brands' target

3 months

72%

ROAS 1.39

6 months

90%

ROAS 1.11

12 months

122%

ROAS 0.82

Interactive financial model

$5.00
17%

ACOS first order

74%

ACOS 12 months

33%

Horizon Sales Profit ACOS

Toggle the sliders and every number rebuilds across 1,000 customers.

And a live financial model

Toggle your cost-per-click and conversion rate, and watch your real ACOS, sales, profit and margin rebuild across 1,000 customers, on your own price and margin.

  • Drag the cost-per-click and conversion-rate sliders to model your own ads
  • See the ACOS your repeat customers actually let you afford
  • Sales, profit, margin and ACOS at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months
Why the number is so high

Your real break-even ACOS is more than double your target

First-order math caps you at a single sale. Count the customer's full lifetime and your ceiling climbs far past it. Move the horizon to see how far.

How far ahead do you count the customer?

Break-even ACOS you can afford

122%

2.7× your first-order target

45%
First order only Full lifetime value

77 points of ACOS a competitor can bid into that you can't, until you price ads on lifetime value.

How the best sellers use it

A higher break-even ACOS is only powerful if you spend it in the right place

Find the keywords where the market is big but your market share is small. Those are where you can afford to be aggressive, because your LTV-based break-even ACOS lets you pay for clicks your competitors can't.

1

Bid aggressively where you're small

High search volume, low market share. Your break-even ACOS lets you outbid.

2

Ad spend lifts organic rank

Winning Top of Search pulls your organic position up on those keywords.

3

Paid turns into organic

You start selling with no ad cost. Those sales are pure profit.

4

Reinvest, and it compounds

Profit funds more aggressive bids. Ads → rank → organic → profit → ads.

That loop is the flywheel: every turn costs less and returns more.

Cumulative profit per customer over orders: order 1 is a loss, the curve crosses break-even, then climbs into profit by orders 3, 6 and 12
Every order returns more than the last, and that profit funds your next aggressive bid.

That is how a competitor "affords" a click you can't. They are not overspending, they are buying market share that compounds into organic profit. My Real Profit shows you which keywords to target (market size versus your share) and the break-even ACOS you can afford on each.

Trusted by Amazon's best brands

“The holy grail of analytics for CPG brands”
True Sea Moss Ivan Tsvilik · CEO at True Sea Moss
True Sea Moss
subscriber growth
40%
NTB increase
Salt & Stone
100%
NTB accuracy
faster insights
Royal Craft Wood
+13%
gross margin
−22%
fewer refunds
CGK Linens
−18%
wasted ad spend
10×
faster decisions
Trivium
50h+
saved monthly
100%
auto reporting
Kitsch
5h+
saved daily
100%
profit clarity
FAQ

Questions, answered

Yes. Enter your product, get your break-even ACOS, no credit card and no login required.
Break-even ACOS = your margin before ads × how much more a customer is worth over time (their lifetime value multiple). The longer the horizon, the more repeat purchases count, and the higher the ACOS you can afford.
Yes. If customers reorder, their lifetime contribution can exceed the first sale. So you can spend more than the first order is worth to acquire them and still profit across the year. That is exactly how a competitor "affords" a higher CPC than you.
They are directional benchmarks by category, not your account data. For your real, account-level lifetime value and break-even targets, connect your account to My Real Profit.
Completely. Everything is calculated inside your browser. Nothing is uploaded, and there is no login.

This number is a category estimate

This is a category estimate. Now get your real one.

Connect your account and My Real Profit calculates your true lifetime value, break-even ACOS and the exact cost-per-click you can afford, by product, on your own data.

Your real LTV and break-even, by product Connects in 2 clicks, read-only A call with our Amazon experts
Get my real break-even ACOS

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Every week you bid on first-order math, a competitor outbids you for the same customer.

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